Israel
U.S.
+10
Mar 10, 2026
•
13 min read
Assessment: The Iran War’s Likely End State, U.S. and Israeli Strategic Objectives, and the Remaining Campaign Timeline
There is no evidence the United States or Israel require Iranian consent in order to end the campaign
Fertilizer
+22
Mar 6, 2026
•
8 min read
The Next Phase of the War and Its Global Consequences
Any U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran (as we argued in our last post) that were limited in some manner, and did not appear to seek regime change, would have allowed the possibility for an agreed offramp at some point.
JCPOA
+9
Feb 26, 2026
•
6 min read
What comes next if nuclear talks fail
Total war or a tacitly limited conflict?
Economy
+19
Sep 23, 2025
•
9 min read
23 September 2025
More western countries recognize Palestine, as Argentina teeters of brink of economic crisis
America
+15
Sep 22, 2025
•
10 min read
22 September 2025
UN sanctions on Iran almost certain, as U.S. clarifies visa rules for foreign workers
JCPOA
+9
Sep 21, 2025
•
5 min read
The JCPOA at the brink: Iran, sanctions, and the final days of Resolution 2231
The background to and implications of snapback
America
+12
Sep 10, 2025
•
5 min read
10 September 2025
Poland invokes NATO Article 4 after drone incursions into its airspace, triggering emergency consultations.
